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The bookcase

One of the books Shaun rated five out of five.

Charlie Munger: The Complete Investor

Tren Griffin

  • 5/5
  • Finished 2023
  • Management
  • Big Business

He follows the Graham investment system, which has 4 rules:

  1. A share of stock = proportional ownership of the business
  2. Buy at a significant discount to intrinsic value for a margin of safety
  3. Make bipolar Mr Market your servant not your master
  4. Be rational, objective, dispassionate

https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/owners.html

The book describes heuristics by which Munger runs, almost like his OS code

  • Reward & punishment superresponse tendency
    • You get what you reward for. If you want ants to come, put sugar on the floor.
  • Liking/loving tendency
    • People tend to ignore the faults of people they love, and distort the facts to facilitate that love
  • Disliking/hating tendency
    • inverse of the above!
  • Doubt-avoidance tendency
    • rejecting doubt reduces brain processing load
    • it’s counterproductive for prey that is threatened by a predator to take a long time in deciding what to do
  • Inconsistency-avoidance tendency
    • Man conserves programming space by being reluctant to change
    • This can be helpful, but also harmful.
  • Curiosity tendency
    • Major opportunities come to those with a curious mind that love diagnosis involving multiple variables.
  • Kantian fairness tendency
    • Tolerate a little unfairness to some to get a greater unfairness for all.
  • Envy/jealousy tendency
    • Envy is an evil sin
  • Influence from mere association tendency
    • Humans are programmed to be pattern seekers
  • Pain avoiding psychological denial
    • failure to handle psychological denial is a common way for people to go broke
  • Excessive self-regard tendency
    • don’t overestimate your own capabilities
  • Over-optimism tendency
  • Loss aversion tendency
    • Many investors, so traumatised after 2007 losses, missed the once in a century opportunity to buy bank stocks for pennies on the dollar
  • Social proof tendency
  • Contrast misreaction tendency
    • estate agents show you an expensive crap house first before showing you the house they really want to sell you, so you compare the two
  • Stress influence tendency
  • Availability misweighing tendency
    • an idea is not worth more because it is more easily available to you
  • Use it or lose it tendency
    • all skills attenuate with disuse
  • Drug misinfluence tendency
  • Senescence misinfluence tendency
    • conscious thinking & learning, done with joy, can somewhat delay what is inevitable
  • Authority misinfluence tendency
    • when people are uncertain, they don’t look inside of themselves for answers, they look outside, and for authority.
  • Twaddle tendency
    • try to get rid of people who always confidently answer questions about which they don’t have any real knowledge.
  • Reason respecting tendency

Qualities of successful investors

  • Patience
    • we don’t feel compulsion to swing
  • Discipline
    • Warren and I do more reading & thinking and less doing than most in business
  • Calm but courageous and decisive
    • There’s something to be said for developing the disposition to own stocks without fretting
  • Intelligent but not misled by high IQ’s
  • Honest
    • how you behave in one place will help in surprising ways later
  • Confident and Nonideological
    • Ideology stops you thinking about the hard issues. Take your best ideas, tear them apart, look for flaws as a way of improving yourself.
  • Long term oriented
    • almost all good businesses engage in “pain today, gain tomorrow”
  • Studious
    • I have known no wise people who didn’t read all the time - none, zero. You’d be amazed at how much Warren and I read.
  • Collegial
    • Even Einstein didn’t work in isolation
  • Sound temperament
    • You need to keep raw irrational emotion under control
  • Frugal
  • Risk averse